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Hey gang

Another whippy day, but fun. We retraced a full 50% off of the lows of the day, so tomorrow will be up to GS pretty much and Google on Thursday.

Here is an iron Condor on Google I am looking at (this is for you Cuban Jim) :)

google condor

Looks like we are right where were,  just a bit lower for the week, now what? Well GS comes out before the bell tomorrow and my bet is they beat and gap but ultimately gain will fade. (like every other company has done so far) :)

Here is a chart why I bailed

GS daily

They bounced right at double bottom and the RL low

Ebay is out and looks to be another pop and drop. So that would be good for NQ bears :)

Well I am ready for GS to announce but also looking for Google on Thursday and AMD

  • elliott_surfs
    MUAHAHAHAHAAAA! That's all.
    BEAR CLAW! BEAR CLAW!
    That too
  • string01
    is this thing on?
  • If you can't post Disqus is having problems with I believe IE or one of the browsers try Google Chrome
  • springheel_jack
    ************NEW POST*************
    <3<3<3<3<<3<3<3<3<<3<3<3<3<<3<3
    *********************************
    <3<3<3<3<<3<3<3<3<<3<3<3<3<<3<3

    http://hotoptionbabe.com/2010/01/21/usd-breaks-...
  • flyboy08
    Out of GS for a tidy profit:-)
  • GS selling in pits
  • flyboy08
    It hit R2 and I bailed.
  • mmTesla
    Wow, that was a nice break.
  • Live feed from pits back on
  • defleming
    May I ask where do you get the live feeds?
  • sure on TOS :)
  • I just found out allot of folks can't post for some reason.

    Gang go to Disqus directly and subsribe to HOB and you can go through the back door :)
  • You could easily short AUD/USD here I am :)
  • geo
    anybody still short gs
  • JoeTrader
    might take a put on the day we will see
  • suzor
    me
  • geo
    cool ....still might be good;;;will see if that 21ema can get through the 34ema on the bogus earnings
  • suzor
    GS up only a few cents PM after blowout earnings
  • Hindsight should have kept that put spread (coulda shoulda woulda) LOL

    btw how did IBM work out for you? still looking for 126 area before FEB OPX
  • suzor
    I got out IBM around 129...made 50% :)
  • Yeah!!! congrats! my first target area
  • suzor
    yeah, I was surprised we can make so much on a 3% move
  • :) so glad for us
  • mmTesla
    Good morning!
  • GM Tes! :)
  • mmTesla
    How are you today?
  • monicadern
    I'm here. I find it interesting that futures have gone down since last night, especially after the slew of good news. That does seem like a trend change.
  • That's what I mentioned Friday the 15th was the double top high, we retested it on Tuesday and again failed, then we went down to the 113.20 support (allot there and bounced) I feel we will retest that and finally break :)
  • monicadern
    Yep, I'm still hanging on to my bearish positions and will continue to do so. No trading for me.
  • :)
  • string01
    They pushed the spx and ndq right to that 61.8 RL overnight
  • string01
    PResent.

    Hey do you have pit audio this a.m.?
  • no they're server is down right now :(

    GM
  • geo
    where are we headed on spy...1090 0r 1050
  • I feel 1045 to 1050 sometime before the end of march or earlier. :)
  • geo
    there will be a huge hammer
  • :) sure will
  • geo
    spx
  • string01
    Yes GM
    Where are my manners ?
  • Under your hood heheheh j/k
  • string01
    Nothing under that thing... nothing.
  • heheheh I know that's not true :)
  • JoeTrader
    its really sad that nothing is being done to create jobs at this point....really sad - edit not a political statement at all
  • Especially with all the taxpayer bailout $ that has been spent
  • JoeTrader
    it makes me sick to think of all the people I know that cant get a job
  • yeah me too
  • Where is everyone this morning???
  • Brian_mk
    just lurking so far ... gm sunshine :)
  • Hey Bri!
  • suzor
    Hi Anna, I brought up the GOOG iron condor on my TOS analyze page. That white line makes this look like an almost risk free trade. I looked at IC’s for other stocks and I see the same thing. Maybe, I don’t understand the analyze tool. The white line is the profit/loss line for the specified date. Yes? Any movement either direction produces instant profit and as I advance the date the profit increases. What am I missing?
  • Hi Suzor, no its not risk free, however the risk is low as Google usually always moves 8-10% one way or the other. You have cover yourself with puts and calls and have a neutral IV. What you need is movement.
    I am doing a straight vPs as I am bearish, but wanted you guys to put out less risk, until you are comfy with options. G/L to us :)
  • JoeTrader
    are you saying here that you are doing straight puts?
  • No Vertical put spread :)
  • JoeTrader
    yeah had a sip of coffee and read it again....lol
  • hahahahaha :)
  • refresh for edited reply
  • JoeTrader
    another rise in jobless claims
  • Argon
    Morning Red.
  • Good Morning Everyone...
  • HI Red :)
  • Argon
    Jobless claims UP 36K !
  • I do believe we might get a breakout here on the old dixie soon ! :))))
  • Morning! You meant the Dow...?
  • no the dollar it is a nickname for it :) Morning
  • Whoo...sounds sexy...lol
  • GM Gang, looks like a doji today before heading lower, my goal today is Google and AMD :)
  • JoeTrader
    Goldman Sachs Posts 4Q Earnings of $8.20 A Share on Revenue of $9.62 Billion
  • flyboy08
    LOL! The street was looking for around $5.15....!
  • JoeTrader
    that is one money making machine indeed
  • flyboy08
    Not getting any love PM though? If this was any other Beta stock, it would be up by 10-20!
  • JoeTrader
    very true...seems to be the new pattern though...blow out earnings stock neutral or falls
  • I would bail on GS appears that it will go down shortly
  • flyboy08
    Yep, probably will today:-)
  • ARe you out please?? and Sela??
  • flyboy08
    Got an email from Sela...all's well, he's just observing HOB and the market....
  • Oh thank goodness. tell him we miss him! :)
  • I hope he is ok! :(
  • JoeTrader
    its really refreshing that you actually care about the traders here....
  • I do I do :-)
  • JoeTrader
    :)
  • Yeah with our $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ :) GM Joe
  • JoeTrader
    no sh*t
  • :)
  • PRSGuitars
    And an NQ 133 update...

    http://screencast.com/t/MWY5YjAyY
  • skynard
    Sweet! for a lower high to be put in, futures down.
  • Romaitas
  • Atoughshortlife
    Anna did you hold your SPY puts?
  • HI Atough I sure did. :)
  • PRSGuitars
    Pretty sure she cut a variety of them (at least 1/2) near 1130 /es or so. I know she had mentioned holding some through the end of the week at least -- but as she was working with 111s (rolled down from 112s, for a profit) she may have cut and run to re-establish at a higher price.

    All in all, since i can't speak for her, I think it's safe to assume she cut at least half on the dip and is either reloading or waiting to add at these levels (if I know anna's trading style).
  • yes, you're good, paying attention I see :)
  • flyboy08
    China GDP 10.7!!!!!!!! A crash in the making!

    CCI & PPI clearly into inflationary region(s).....expect policy tightening.
  • monicadern
    Goodnight all - may the futures turn negative!
  • flyboy08
    Sleep tight!
  • flyboy08
    I read on another blog of one individual watching Brazil as a leading DOWN indicator for the markets..his opinion/thoughts were compelling...sez the banks are headed south as US currency fleas their mkt.....
  • flyboy08
    OK...who wants to explain this 133 thingy to me?
  • PRSGuitars
    I'll explain -- it's my deal... sigh...

    As you may know, the 133 extension is a 133% channel extension whenever an established channel breaks out or down, providing a reversal target of sorts should the breakout or down fail. It involves taking the established channel -- aka 0 to 100% -- and extending it to 133.3% to establish a new outer channel line within which the breakout or down must be contained.

    The 133.3 channel extension is a phenomenally useful tool for predicting channel 'breakout' reversals. If a breakout is suspect, it will be contained within the 133.3% -- examples are abound if anyone would like more (I just went through my disqus and searched for 133, came up with dozens of examples).

    Here's how i do a 133 extension on a platform that doesn't allow for customization of channels (like ProphetCharts; TOS charts: edit channel, add curve, enter 133.3 or -0.333 if it's on the other side, ie, an inverse 133 extension... done!): Synthetic 133.3% extension -- move the new channel's 75% line to the 100% line of the old channel.

    Example (from September FOMC madness):
    Part 1: http://screencast.com/t/Q3yzJOsVZpM
    Part 2: http://screencast.com/t/7cE6dZuiPK5

    Generic 133 extension explanation for ProphetCharts
    Part 1 http://screencast.com/t/YzZjNDg4Ym
    Part 2 http://screencast.com/t/YTA3MzZmY
  • PRSGuitars
    edit-- link corrected for Example (from September FOMC madness):

    Part 1: http://screencast.com/t/Q3yzJOsVZpM
    Part 2: http://screencast.com/t/7cE6dZuiPK5

    Generic 133 extension explanation for ProphetCharts

    Part 1: http://screencast.com/t/YzZjNDg4Ym
    Part 2: http://screencast.com/t/YTA3MzZmY
  • flyboy08
    1st link doesn't work? The following three are fine.
  • PRSGuitars
  • flyboy08
    Thank you!
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