Hey Hobsters,
Ok first of all here is my opinion analysis thoughts on where we are and where we could be headed. I always say could, might, because to say I know for sure or without a doubt is just nonsense. No one knows for sure, all we can do is work with the latest data we have and make some educated decisions. I am a technical trader, but there are outside fundamentals that can change a stock or indexes direction.
First all of let’s look @ the weekly S&P Cash. The Wave is about as extended as I have ever seen! Typically Wave 3 is related to Wave 1 by on of a few ways. the most common mulitpliers are 1.618 and 2.618% and the wave we are in is extended by much more than that. Typically 75% only extended the 1.618 or 2.618.

As most of you know I felt that January 15th would be our turn date. not that we wont go up and down of course (corrective waves) but that the high for this wave has been seen.
If you notice the MACD is still overbought and check out the oscillator (one of my favorite indcators) there you see bearish divergence building. Now check out the RL in the chart, unreal! Also look where my software possbily shows us by end of 2010 beginning of 2011. Whoa, that surprised even me.
Now let’s look @ the daily SP Cash

According to EWT this chart shows a retracement to 480 to 440, do I believe this nah, not right now the FED will not allow that this soon, I think. Now as I have told you anything is possible, but I really don’t think it’s likely. I just see a clear Bearish retracement in the making.

Now two of my favorite Stocks come out this week, IBM and Google. I will post a chart of Google on the dailies. Everyone expects Google to blow out the earnings. Now that could be, but I have to hear the whisper number! Same as with IBM.

I will most likely do an iron condor on Google and a put spread on IBM.
Now I also mentioned to you guys about the $DXY opening up stronger this week, well so far so good i just picked up another 100 pips on the short AUD/USD position I held. (closed it) but will keep my short EUR as it hasn’t moved as much.
Here is my costume for a while….heheheh
Good luck to all and yes I will be around allot tomorrow as I will be trading FX.
